Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 12.802334 14.715096 16.754638 19.084474 21.665292 24.429654 27.607434
2025-01-05 10.185591 12.665900 15.471695 18.857771 22.809301 27.250665 32.594592
2025-01-12 8.599880 11.428580 14.789700 19.030434 24.187421 30.203271 37.695807
2025-01-19 7.412235 10.453392 14.227180 19.174997 25.405185 32.900940 42.503625
2025-01-26 6.654100 9.890741 14.062328 19.714835 27.044460 36.091926 47.953165
2025-02-02 5.981149 9.340896 13.826546 20.090384 28.430334 38.962007 53.051844
2025-02-09 5.293638 8.680770 13.361491 20.089734 29.275407 41.125096 57.279006
2025-02-16 4.464036 7.716611 12.379839 19.289995 28.972248 41.738226 59.475887
2025-02-23 3.924877 7.118753 11.852308 19.058696 29.388320 43.267764 62.870146
2025-03-02 3.402706 6.484817 11.209718 18.600507 29.435881 44.267201 65.549154
2025-03-09 3.017160 6.024990 10.783792 18.415540 29.835749 45.730530 68.864084
2025-03-16 2.626056 5.508883 10.222579 17.978466 29.828809 46.601810 71.361987
2025-03-23 2.388267 5.235769 10.029338 18.095314 30.643183 48.660773 75.580457
2025-03-30 2.137904 4.909664 9.719669 18.002140 31.125211 50.244681 79.158177
2025-04-06 1.968762 4.715160 9.612583 18.219371 32.077039 52.523451 83.768230
2025-04-13 1.807620 4.516421 9.479763 18.379755 32.936273 54.678862 88.241063
2025-04-20 1.717013 4.448464 9.570024 18.910334 34.388164 57.742804 94.094001
2025-04-27 1.610589 4.334840 9.567083 19.277187 35.584768 60.447043 99.471827
2025-05-04 1.465727 4.120819 9.360992 19.277989 36.183060 62.252403 103.552372
2025-05-11 1.243725 3.704424 8.736987 18.504757 35.475641 62.028599 104.588797
2025-05-18 1.107858 3.465654 8.434063 18.281222 35.659338 63.172070 107.689158
2025-05-25 0.964650 3.186979 8.026348 17.838106 35.446989 63.678359 109.818751
2025-06-01 0.861492 2.991954 7.771109 17.659245 35.670716 64.868695 113.008934